Showing posts with label Preamble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Preamble. Show all posts

Monday, August 11, 2008

A Precursor to Investment - Adequate Insurance Planning

Insurance planning deserves a special mention in this investment blog, because it underpins all good personal investments. This is perhaps one underlying aspect that is usually overlooked when one talks about investment. When struck with a unforeseen crisis, without adequate insurance planning, even the most outstanding investor will have to liquidate his precious golden egg and all gains will vanish before his very eyes. Therefore, it is of utmost importance that one ensures that he has arranged for sufficient coverage before embarking on any investing venture to build his nest egg.

I will briefly cover a few key aspects and share my perspectives on insurance and basic financial planning. I do not claim to be a financial planning or insurance expert, but I believe the below pointers I have to share are what experts will probably advise you too.

Disclaimer: What will be expressed here are the views of an author, who is definitely not a financial planner or insurance agent. The views are not completely exhaustive and only to the best of the author's knowledge. Readers are strongly advised to seek the services of a specialised insurance agent or financial planner.

Insurance: Intent
The primary intent of insurance is about the preservation of you and your family's state of financial well being when something unfortunate strikes. Preservation of financial well being meant you will not have the need to vastly alter your state of finances, i.e. liquidate stocks/funds, take loans, or worse still, sell your physical assets to pay for medical bills or to sustain the expenses required to maintain your family's current quality of life. The bottomline for preservation of financial well being is that your finances must not be unduly stressed when crisis strikes.

Now, the secondary intent of insurance is that it can also serve as a form of low risk savings planning. For basic life insurance, the yearly premiums that you have paid will accumulate a cash value within your policy. At a certain stage in your life, you can choose to surrender the policy for a lump sum of cash if you feel that you are more than sufficiently covered. In addition, there are more complex insurance products like endowment/savings policies, which you can pay a regular annual sum towards a plan to distribute either a steady stream of income, or allow you to encash a lump sum at different stages in your life. For example, you can get an insurance that gives you a lump sum, or activate a steady stream of income when you hit 40, 50 and 60 years old. You can also look out for insurance instruments that are like savings plans for you to encash an amount when your child needs a lump sum for his tertiary studies.

The question is: do you want to see insurance as purely an expense, or a form of savings as well? Usually, the general public's answer (which makes sense) is a middle between both extremes: they normally view insurance as a form of retirement planning which provides a certain amount of coverage still.

Scope of insurance coverage
The four key areas that must be covered are: death, disability, critical illnesses, hospitalization. These are four areas that will deal the biggest blow to anyone's finances if not appropriately covered. I think it is of paramount importance that anyone make sures that these four areas are well covered.

The fifth area of 'accident coverage' is optional and dependent on whether you operate in an environment that constantly exposes you to a range of possible work related injuries. And if your agent advises you that there will be no way that you will be able to claim under any current insurance plan, and you have some spare cash, you might want to consider putting away any possible financial worries arising from such little accidents. These injuries should not be life threatening or require you to undergo intensive operations, but significant and frequent enough to frustrate you from saving up to build that lovely golden nest egg.

Assured Amount: the Four dimensions
The next consideration about insurance is on the assured amount. What is the rule of thumb to decide on the sum assured? If you pass on, what is the amount you want to leave behind for your loved ones? If you turn disabled, what is the income you want to regularly generate for your family? If struck with a critical illness, what is the lump sum you need to cover for all the medical fees?

Death: Ideally, we hope to be able to maintain our family's quality of life for the next 20 years, this timeframe is definitely good enough to finance my children towards independence and my family to adapt to my absence. But to the average Joe (which is me) who earns the average income, this is unrealistic. We may want to revise our targets down then, 10 years worth of expenses probably? Let's look at a few case studies on how you can compute your sum assured: for the singles like me (ladies, you are welcomed to drop me a message), who contribute a monthly 'piety' sum to my parents, I will want to preserve this monthly payout for a good 15 years if I have to pass on. Then I use this to work backwards to determine on my desired total sum assured, and work out a sum that my current income will be able to sustain. If I have a family to feed, I will estimate an average annualised expense and project it for 'X' years ahead, X being a variable that depends on how much I can reasonably afford to fork out now.

Disability: Now let's take another perspective on sum assured: What if the person enters a situation whereby life deals a blow that leaves him income-less, but fully conscious and disabled? Well, he is still there, and his family needs money and he needs money to go on. Insurance plans with disability income comes in here. It is hard to pin a figure on how much is enough, because the family will have to be realistic and adjust downwards their quality of life. Given current standards of living, a good figure to grasp with is S$10,000 per annum (or about 1k per month) of disability annual income with probably a one lump sum payout. I think with this sum of disability income, one will be able to sustain a very basic standard of living without putting undue strain on the family.

Critical Illness: Statistics reveal that usually the median of the cost of one time medical cost for the the most common critical illness is around S$50,000. Critical illnesses strike hard on finances and when it comes, the bills come fast and furious in immense sums. No one will want to have to sell their family's dwelling or take on a bank loan to pay for those bills.

Hospitalisation: These fees do not kill your finances; but the monthly bills of 2k or 3k and more due to treatment and long term hospitalisation will bleed anyone's bank dry. The Singapore Government provides us with a Medishield that is partly and mandatory funded by our monthly income. This is a good plan, but the amount and coverage is somewhat lacking. It is good to consider hospitalisation insurance plans that enhance your coverage further. The costs are affordable, and recommended to ensure you do not sell away a Warren Buffett share to pay for these hospitalisation bills.

Investment-Linked Plans
There are also many insurance linked plans. These plans provide you with a certain coverage, but your cash premiums are invested in mutual fund products e.g. "Asia Pacific Growth Fund". These plans can probably yield higher returns. If you ask me as a matter of opinion, I would recommend for anyone to have a clean segregation between what is meant for insurance and what is meant for investment. For insurance, you want a fuss free, low risk and high confidence on a strong shield for your finances. For investment, you are looking at higher risk, for higher returns. Mixing both up in mumbo-jumbo plans complicate anyone's financial planning.

Term Life Insurance
Term life insurance is a cheap form of life insurance. The difference being that it holds no cash value. It only provides coverage for a specified term (say 1 year, 5 years, etc), therafter, the insured personnel can choose to renew the policy but pay much higher premiums. The intent is a pure death benefit to provide coverage for the insured, so the immediate premium price is much lower. If you talk to an insurance agent, and compare the premiums against that of a whole life insurance, it is generally true that the premium for term life will escalate significantly compared to a whole life over a period of time. If you ask me, I would recommend from a layman's perspective that one should go for a whole life insurance, where the annual premiums are fixed and correlative to your age (i.e. lower your age, cheaper the annual premium, and have a cash value at the end, with a similar coverage).

However, there can be situations where term life insurance fits your insurance planning. For example, SAF offers a Group Term Life insurance that covers until 70 years old, where a S$600 annual premium can provide you approx. S$100k coverage. You may decide to have a clear segregation between your retirement planning and insurance, and you see your insurance as a form of expense. In addition, you do not desire to have a death benefit beyond 70 years old because you believe that your dependents' quality of life will no longer depend on you anymore then. In this situation, buying a term insurance fits your designated outcome.

For the experts and insurance savvy ones, you may hold a different view. YMMV.

Completing your 'shield'
In addition to insurance, it is highly recommended for anyone to set aside a sum that is worth at least 6 months of income to buffer against any change to your current level of income. We function in a global economy where matters are eternally in a state of flux; there's no way we are able to guarantee that our current income level will not be disrupted by a loss of employment or loss of income. I think 6 months is a reasonable timeframe for anyone to pick himself up after enduring such a blow. And once you are done with all these preparation work, you can say that you shield is more or less complete, and that you can start embarking on your investing venture.

Final Remarks
I have broadly covered on aspects in insurance planning and building a strong shield in finances. It's not exhaustive, but I have shared will probably rev up the layman with a good ground to start with.

If you have thought nothing about insurance and have been obsessed with investing every single penny to surpass Warren Buffett, (like I was in University days), my dear friend, it is time to rethink again.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Why I Decided to Create My Own Investment Blog

I have been doing investing myself since year 2000 when I was still a student studying in National University of Singapore. There have been many moments of losses mixed with moments of gain. I have witnessed the panic selling after 9/11, as well as how the SARS impacted Singapore's economy. Most importantly, I have appreciated the complexities and entanglements between a rational mind and human emotions, and the impact it has on making investment decisions

My Gains and Losses: Graduating from the School of Value Investing
My losses are like 'school fees' paid for lifelong lessons in investment and valuing businesses. The point of 'graduation' came last year when I felt I have acquired immense confidence to apply value investing principles with a significant level of success, and it occurred to me on the importance of crystallizing the principles and paradigms of thought in a clear and explicit manner in the form of articles.

The Purpose of this Blog
This blog articulates my framework of investing and freely shares with all readers my investment knowledge. For non-starters, this blog will equip them with the basic knowledge on how they can take on investing by themselves. In addition, there will be specific references and sharings of analysis of a few companies.

I have gained immensely from the wisdom of the forefathers of value investing, and I hope you will be able to learn as much from what I have to share. Watch me as I rigorously apply the principles of value investing and achieve annual returns that consistently outperform the market and exceed the performance of the professional fund managers

Are you a Value Investor?

“Investing is most successful when it is most businesslike” – so said the father of value investing, Benjamin Graham, who is also the mentor of the world’s richest man Warren Buffett. Value investing requires a paradigm shift from the common perception of companies listed on the stock market as a bunch of ticking numbers to thinking of oneself as truly a part owner of a business. To express it succinctly, value investing is about ownership of an excellent business at a price that is a fraction of its worth.

Are you a Value Investor?

Characteristics of a non-Value Investor

Investors who have acquired the Holy Grail of Value Investing are few and far between. I would reckon that more than 95% of the investor population comprises of non-value investors. This group of people generally does not recognize that there will always be a disparity between price and value. Amongst them will be a lot of people who are emotionally correlated to the fluctuations of the economy and the stock market – when the stock market is bullish, their portfolio value rises and they are happy; when the stock market is bearish and their portfolio looks mediocre, they are unhappy. Their actions are driven by their emotions.

Amongst this group will also have people who profess to be technical analyst (TA) or computational clairvoyants who claim that they are able to predict future price movements by drawing charts based on historical prices and volume. Amongst them will be people who are opportunists and gamblers who hop on the bandwagon of certain news in the hope of obtaining a quick profit. There is also the group of Efficient Market Theory believers who firmly insist that information is perfect, and that all prices reflect the company’s underlying value; they firmly believe that all efforts to perform an investment analysis are futile and it is more worthwhile looking at global trends.

Characteristics of a Value Investor

At any point in time, value investors keep things simple and they only seek to obtain answers to one question: what is the company’s underlying worth? The fundamental difference between a value and non-value investor is that a value investor recognizes that there will always be a disparity between price and value of the business; there will always be room to capitalize on situations where the price grossly misrepresents the company’s value.

Value investors think independently and do not follow the herd’s behaviour. They are emotionally disengaged from daily stock market fluctuations; their decisions on buy/sell are strictly based on a sound and rational judgment of the business quality versus the price. Value investors are highly risk-averse; they only seek to invest in companies that fall into their circle of competence – they thoroughly understand the industry requirements and business model of the companies they hold stakes in. They sleep soundly all the time, even if the stock market closes for a prolonged period. As long as the company continues to operate profitably, value investors will remain inactive.

Value investors are very intelligent; they will awake from their inactivity or ‘slumber’ to swop in for bargains when everyone is fearful, and they will not hesitate to sell off their businesses at a significant profit when everyone else has a sense of unfounded optimism.

So, are you a value investor?